Jayson at PoliPundit thinks the current "over/under" for the U.S. Senate is GOP + four. Here's how he reaches this conclusion:

GOP hopeful David Vitter now is tracking at 51 percent in Louisiana. RCP is reporting that Rasmussen has John Thune leading Daschle by three points in S.D., with only five percent undecided. Once-lost GOP candidates, Richard Burr and Tom Coburn, appear to have sealed their respective races, apparently in spite of themselves. Democrats who are clinging to polls out of Colorado need to talk to Wayne Allard’s opponent from 2002, before getting too giddy about their true prospects in that race. And we’re not even hearing much if anything from the liberal media about the Murkowski-Knowles race, which must mean, by definition, that Murkowski is poised to hold the seat. Of course, Georgia and South Carolina always were locks for the GOP; whereas, Illinois always has been a certain pick up for the Democrats.

Jayson doesn't discuss Florida where the GOP seems to have a 50-50 chance of picking up a seat. But since not all the tight races are likely to break our way, I'd gladly settle for a gain of four seats. Jayson links to NRO's John Miller who expects a two seat Republican pick-up.

Posted by Paul at 08:53 PM  |    |  

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» Huh? from Carnivorous Conservative
The guys at Power Line picked this up from Polipundit, two sites I like and read. But I really don't get it. Jayson at PoliPundit thinks the current "over/under" for the U.S. Senate is GOP four. Here's how he reaches [Read More]

Tracked on October 27, 2004 11:22 PM