November 02, 2004
Bush Takes Lead in Florida
With 7% of the vote in, President Bush is leading by 57% to 42%. Martinez is leading his Senate race by seven.
The Democrats I'm hanging out with here aren't as cocky as they were a few hours ago.
UPDATE: The Florida Secretary of State reports Bush's lead at 56.6 to 42.5, with 12% of the vote cast.
ANOTHER UPDATE: With 35% of the votes counted, Bush's lead is 56% to 43%.
Bush also has a surprising (to me, anyway) 57% to 42% lead in the popular vote. Given, especially, that the states counted so far are all in the east.
DEACON adds: Ken Mehlman was just on Fox citing data showing Bush doing significantly better than he did in 2000 in three important areas of Florida and among Hispanic voters. Mehlman was less convincing when making the case for his man in Ohio, citing only the fact that Kerry is doing no better than Gore did with absentee ballots from Cuyahoga County (Cleveland).
FLORIDA UPDATE: With 41% of the precincts reporting, Bush leads 52% to 47%. Broward County is mostly in now, but Miami-Dade hasn't reported any, nor has Palm Beach. I've heard a rumor that with 50% in, it's tied, but haven't seen that anywhere.
MORE FLORIDA: With 54% of the precincts reporting, Bush has expanded his lead to 53%-46%. Bad news: Miami-Dade has not begun to report. Good news: the panhandle hasn't, either.
MORE FLORIDA: With 65% in, Bush leads by 6.
MORE FLORIDA: With 73% in, Bush's lead is 52% to 47%.
MORE: With 77% in, still five points.
Posted by John at 06:45 PM |

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» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's s... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 06:48 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's s... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 06:56 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's s... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:01 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's s... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:04 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:06 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:08 PM
» ELECTION NIGHT - LIVEBLOGGING from Peaktalk
OK. Were' on our way it's 16:50 Pacific Time, Bush-Kerry 39 - 3, no surprises yet although rumors abound that Kerry's looking good. The Zogby Poll may have something to do with that. It may not be smooth running tonight, [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:15 PM
» ELECTION NIGHT - LIVEBLOGGING from Peaktalk
OK. Were' on our way it's 16:50 Pacific Time, Bush-Kerry 39 - 3, no surprises yet although rumors abound that Kerry's looking good. The Zogby Poll may have something to do with that. It may not be smooth running tonight, [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:23 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:26 PM
» Florida Update from The Patriette
Hindrocket at the Powerline blog notes that the counts for Bush in Florida are going well. Some even say the preliminary tallies have Bush up by double digits. Sweet. I know - there are still many more ballots to count... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:26 PM
» Early Results from Secure Liberty
No surprises so far, except the early call of New Jersey. Of course I waited half the night for them to call Georgia last year...which was a landslide for Bush all night. Which will be this year's Georgia (already called in 2004) NC? SC? Virgina?
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Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:27 PM
» Florida looks good from The view from MY right
Power Line is reporting some good news in Florida, even though Fox News is reporting less support for Bush among Hispanics than the Bush campaign wanted. [Read More]
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» Open Thread: Election Blogging And Commenting from La Shawn Barber's Corner
2:43 p.m. --- I'm on my way to the polls. I will try to update this post as often as I can. In the meantime, keep everyone up to date with the latest information on the returns.
May they be happy returns! :)
3:32 p.m. --- Well, that was spectacu... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:38 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:50 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 07:59 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:07 PM
» Election 2004 from Tim Berglund
5:41pm News is on. Homebrew is not poured yet, which is lamentable, but coverage has begun nonetheless. FNC, CNN, NBC, and presumably others are calling IN, WV, KY, and GA for Bush, VT for Kerry. The fun hasn't begun yet. 5:48pm Oh, I dunno...there's ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:08 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
8:09 -- This Just In… Powerline is reporting that with 35% of the votes counted, Bush is leading in Florida 56% to 43%. 8:02 -- The Tally: Bush takes TX, KS, NE, ND, SD, and WY. Kerry gets NY and... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:11 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
8:27 The Tally: Bush adds Louisiana and Mississippi. [B-171/K-112] 8:25 -- Media Stuff: MSNBC says that Florida added over a million new voters since the 2000 election. How will that change the race from last time? 8:09 -- This Just... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:28 PM
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Tonight I'm posting Arizona news at the Command-Post. This is an excellent resource for up-to-the-minute election results from across the country as bloggers everywhere represent their states. Good news from Florida: Bush leads 53-46 with 53% reporting... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:32 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
8:30 -- Other Livebloggers: Backcountry Conservative, The Command Post, PeakTalk, PoliBlog 8:27 -- The Tally: Bush adds Louisiana and Mississippi. [B-171/K-112] 8:25 -- Media Stuff: MSNBC says that Florida added over a million new voters since the 2000... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:34 PM
» Waiting, Watching, Posting - 2004 Election from bLogicus
Tonight I'm posting Arizona news at the Command-Post. This is an excellent resource for up-to-the-minute election results from across the country as bloggers everywhere represent their states. Good news from Florida: Bush leads 53-46 with 53% reporting... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:35 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
8:36 -- Media Stuff: Andrea Mitchell is claiming that young people are voting for Kerry because they are worried about Social Security(?!). Where does the MSM find these boneheaded pundits? 8:30 -- Other Livebloggers: Backcountry Conservative, The Comm... [Read More]
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» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
8:46 -- Other Livebloggers: My buddy Eric Erickson is an "official blogger" for MSNBC's Hardblogger. 8:36 -- Media Stuff: Andrea Mitchell is claiming that young people are voting for Kerry because they are worried about Social Security(?!). Where does ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:48 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
8:46 -- Other Livebloggers: My buddy Eric Erickson is an "official blogger" for MSNBC's Hardblogger. 8:36 -- Media Stuff: Andrea Mitchell is claiming that young people are voting for Kerry because they are worried about Social Security(?!). Where does ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:49 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
8:46 -- Other Livebloggers: My buddy Eric Erickson is an "official blogger" for MSNBC's Hardblogger. 8:36 -- Media Stuff: Andrea Mitchell is claiming that young people are voting for Kerry because they are worried about Social Security(?!). Where does ... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:49 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
8:55 -- Prediction: I’m going to pull a Tom Brokaw and call Florida a win for Bush. With 65% of the precincts reporting, Bush has 51.5% to Kerry’s 47.6%. I feel comfortable calling this one. 8:46 -- Other Livebloggers: My... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 08:56 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
9:05 -- The Tally: Bush adds Wyoming and Arkansas. [B-182/K-112] 8:55 -- Prediction: I’m going to pull a Tom Brokaw and call Florida a win for Bush. With 65% of the precincts reporting, Bush has 51.5% to Kerry’s 47.6%. I... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:08 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
9:05 -- The Tally: Bush adds Wyoming, Arkansas, Montana, and Utah. [B-184/K-112] 8:55 -- Prediction: I’m going to pull a Tom Brokaw and call Florida a win for Bush. With 65% of the precincts reporting, Bush has 51.5% to Kerry’s... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:10 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
9:17 -- The Tally: Missouri goes to Bush. [B-193/K-112] 9:05 -- The Tally: Bush adds Wyoming, Arkansas, Montana, and Utah. [B-184/K-112] 8:55 -- Prediction: I’m going to pull a Tom Brokaw and call Florida a win for Bush. With 65%... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:18 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
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Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:22 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
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Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:27 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
9:25 -- Initiatives: Twelve states have initiatives to define marriage between a man and a woman (AK, GA, KY, MI, MS, MO, ND, OH, OK). So far it isn't looking good for gay marriage supporters. In almost every state the... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:31 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
9:37 -- Random Musings: Rusty Shackleford has a theory of why the exit polls are flawed: Look, I'm in the loop on this one. The peeps called me up looking for some students. I found some. When I called the... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:38 PM
» No surprises in the map yet... from Irreconcilable Musings
So far everything is playing out as expected on the national scene. No true battleground states have been called, and there are no significant surprises. Updates as they come about. UPDATE: Blog Dad Hindrocket is deep in the belly of [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:39 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
9:50 -- The Tally: Bush takes AZ while Kerry gets PA. Still no surprises. [B-203/K-133] 9:37 -- Random Musings: Rusty Shackleford has a theory of why the exit polls are flawed: Look, I'm in the loop on this one. The... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:51 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
9:54 -- This Just In… With half of the precincts reporting in Ohio, Kerry is only getting 60% of the vote -- less than Al Gore got in 2000. And Gore lost that state. Nice. 9:54 -- This Just In…... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 09:58 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
10:01 -- The Tally: Kerry adds CA and WA while Bush takes ID [B-207/K-199] 9:54 -- This Just In… With half of the precincts reporting in Ohio, Kerry is only getting 60% of the vote -- less than Al Gore... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 10:03 PM
» Bush Ahead in FLorida from bLogicus
I'm surprised that this race has not been called because it looked Bush early on. With 96% of precincts reports, Bush leads Kerry 52-47.... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 10:41 PM
» Bush Ahead in FLorida by Five from bLogicus
I'm surprised that this race has not been called because it looked Bush early on. With 96% of precincts reports, Bush leads Kerry 52-47.... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 10:41 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
11:08 -- This Just In… About an hour ago, Kerry campaign advisor Joe Lockhart claims that they will win NH, OH, FL, MN, WI, IA, NM, and NV. Utterly clueless. 10:01 -- The Tally: Kerry adds CA and WA while... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 11:10 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
11:21 -- The Tally: Although I called FL for Bush at 8:55 we can finally add it to the win column, along with CO. [B-219/K-206] 11:08 -- This Just In… About an hour ago, Kerry campaign advisor Joe Lockhart claims... [Read More]
Tracked on November 2, 2004 11:24 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
11:59 -- The Finish Line? MSNBC is calling both Ohio and Alaska for Bush! That gives Bush 269 and Kerry 206. If these numbers hold then Bush wins. 11:21 -- The Tally: Although I called FL for Bush at 8:55... [Read More]
Tracked on November 3, 2004 12:01 AM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
12:03 -- This Just In… Drudge is calling it a Bush win. 11:59 -- The Finish Line? MSNBC is calling both Ohio and Alaska for Bush! That gives Bush 269 and Kerry 206. If these numbers hold then Bush wins.... [Read More]
Tracked on November 3, 2004 12:55 AM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
1:30 -- This Just In… John Edwards was just sent out to say that they would “count every vote.” I don’t know why I thought they would be gracious losers. They are men of low character who will do anything... [Read More]
Tracked on November 3, 2004 01:35 AM
» the big day from Critical Section
[05:55] Hindrocket on Powerline: Bush takes lead in Florida. "With 35% of the votes counted, Bush's lead is 56% to 43%. The Democrats I'm hanging out with here aren't as cocky as they were a few hours ago." Of course you remember from 2000,... [Read More]
Tracked on November 3, 2004 05:02 AM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
1:30 -- This Just In… John Edwards was just sent out to say that they would “count every vote.” I don’t know why I thought they would be gracious losers. They are men of low character who will do anything... [Read More]
Tracked on November 12, 2004 05:19 PM
» The Finish Line:
Liveblogging the Election from the evangelical outpost
1:30 -- This Just In… John Edwards was just sent out to say that they would “count every vote.” I don’t know why I thought they would be gracious losers. They are men of low character who will do anything... [Read More]
Tracked on November 12, 2004 05:19 PM